Leevon / PPK 0-1 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

Leevon / PPK
0-1 HT 0-1
JFK Ventspils
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Leevon / PPK vs JFK Ventspils Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leevon / PPK v JFK Ventspils — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 17%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
2.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.51
+31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils edged past Leevon / PPK 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leevon / PPK at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs JFK Ventspils?

Leevon / PPK 0-1 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 65%, draw 19%, JFK Ventspils 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✗ Over 2.5
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