Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.84/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.44
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
32 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
23.11.2019 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
27.09.2018 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POLK
25.09.2015 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2-1
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
63% Ball Possession 37%
31 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec edged past Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zaglebie Sosnowiec as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 63% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 37%, shots finished 31-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Olimpia Grudziadz led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 0.67 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 41%, draw 25%, Olimpia Grudziadz 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ BTTS Yes
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