Caracas FC 1-2 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.00/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.68
+13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.9 Crosses 14.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
247 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
30.09.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.02.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-3 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-2
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.70 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
385 Passes 228
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano squeezed past Caracas FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Caracas FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caracas FC had 60% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 40%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.70 to 0.83 — on chances, Caracas FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caracas FC and 1.00 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Rayo Zuliano?

Caracas FC 1-2 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 52%, draw 25%, Rayo Zuliano 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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