Stabaek II 2-1 Fredrikstad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.9pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.38/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.94
-38% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek II
2-1
AWAY Fredrikstad II
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stabaek II vs Fredrikstad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek II nicked a narrow win over Fredrikstad II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Stabaek II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Stabaek II had 61% of the ball to Fredrikstad II's 39%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Stabaek II vs Fredrikstad II?

Stabaek II 2-1 Fredrikstad II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek II vs Fredrikstad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stabaek II 38%, draw 26%, Fredrikstad II 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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