Metropolitanos 2-1 Yaracuyanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.76/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.84
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
27.7 Crosses 8.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yaracuyanos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.52 xG 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
196 Passes 247
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
09.02.2025 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
2-1
AWAY Yaracuyanos
1.65 xG 0.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
293 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Yaracuyanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos squeezed past Yaracuyanos 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 47% of the ball to Yaracuyanos's 53%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.65 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Yaracuyanos?

Metropolitanos 2-1 Yaracuyanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Yaracuyanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 54%, draw 26%, Yaracuyanos 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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