St. Mirren 4-3 East Kilbride — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.94
2-3 Goals
28%
2.03
4-5 Goals
31%
2.4
6+ Goals
21%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
77%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.8pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
5.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/3.53
+71% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
426 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
1W-1D-0L
AWAY East Kilbride
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
29 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 2
20.07.2019 East Kilbride East Kilbride 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
15.08.2017 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 0-0 East Kilbride East Kilbride İKCK
FAQ St. Mirren vs East Kilbride
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St. Mirren edged past East Kilbride 4-3 in the Scotland - League Cup on 21 Jul 2026. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 65% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, St. Mirren have the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Mirren and 0.50 for East Kilbride.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs East Kilbride?

St. Mirren 4-3 East Kilbride in the Scotland - League Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs East Kilbride?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 74%, draw 18%, East Kilbride 8%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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