Queensland Lions 1-1 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queensland Lions
1-1
AWAY Perth Glory
1.43 xG 1.03
21 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
466 Passes 501
32 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions and Perth Glory shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.43 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Perth Glory?

Queensland Lions 1-1 Perth Glory in the Australia - FFA Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 31%, draw 21%, Perth Glory 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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