21/08/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-3
Zdirec n.D. vs Lisen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
Over Pick
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
30%
4-5
31%
6+
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
19%
Home Win
5%
23%
Draw
9%
58%
Away Win
85%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zdirec n.D. v Lisen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zdirec n.D.
The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lisen
The Market 91%
+19% /
+19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-28% /
-28%
1.00/2.75
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.94/1.25
+9%
/
+28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-47%
/
-31%
41%
Ball Possession
59%
8
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
9
4
Corners
7
269 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
423 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
Zdirec n.D. vs Lisen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Zdirec n.D.
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Lisen
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
36%
Ball Possession
64%
5
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
14
2
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Zdirec n.D. vs Lisen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lisen swept aside Zdirec n.D. 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lisen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Zdirec n.D. vs Lisen?
Zdirec n.D. 0-4 Lisen in the Czech Republic - Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zdirec n.D. vs Lisen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Zdirec n.D. 19%, draw 23%, Lisen 58%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lisen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lisen)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Aug 2024