UMF Tindastoll 3-2 KF Fjallabyggdar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY KF Fjallabyggdar EU Bookmakers 17%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.01/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.58
-26% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs KF Fjallabyggdar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll edged past KF Fjallabyggdar 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs KF Fjallabyggdar?

UMF Tindastoll 3-2 KF Fjallabyggdar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs KF Fjallabyggdar?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 57%, draw 19%, KF Fjallabyggdar 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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