Independiente Petrolero 3-0 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Aug 2024

Independiente Petrolero
3-0 HT 1-0
Santa Cruz
📅21/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Independiente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.3pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Petrolero v Santa Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.73
-30% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
21.2 Crosses 10.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Independiente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Cruz
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
192 Passes 182
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
04.06.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.11.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
31.07.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ

Independiente Petrolero 3-0 Santa Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3-0
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.34 xG 0.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
244 Passes 242
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero swept aside Santa Cruz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 52% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.00 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz?

Independiente Petrolero 3-0 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 53%, draw 23%, Santa Cruz 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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