Haka 1-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.8
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
7.07
X/2
11%
4.83
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
31%
2.81
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.6pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 49%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.57/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.56
+83% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
324 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2024 Haka Haka 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
31.05.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-1 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
08.07.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
26.05.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
28.09.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
18.07.2022 Haka Haka 3-2 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-2
AWAY Inter Turku
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku edged past Haka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haka had 47% of the ball to Inter Turku's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haka and 1.67 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Haka vs Inter Turku?

Haka 1-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Haka 28%, draw 24%, Inter Turku 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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