Rosenborg 4-0 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Aug 2024

Rosenborg
4-0 HT 2-0
Lilleström
📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Rosenborg vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.61
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
19%
4.71
X/2
10%
7.47
X/X
7%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
11%
4.94
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosenborg v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.59/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.41
+3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
18.0 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Rosenborg vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lilleström
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.18 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
09.07.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
18.09.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-1 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
19.06.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 2-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
30.10.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-3 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
25.06.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR

Rosenborg 4-0 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
4-0
AWAY Lilleström
3.05 xG 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
506 Passes 354
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg swept aside Lilleström 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 58% of the ball to Lilleström's 42%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 3.05 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosenborg and 2.33 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Lilleström?

Rosenborg 4-0 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 52%, draw 21%, Lilleström 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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