Famalicao U23 4-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
4-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 swept aside Rio Ave U23 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 51% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 49%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Famalicao U23 4-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 41%, draw 27%, Rio Ave U23 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ BTTS No
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