Estrela U23 2-1 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
2-1
AWAY Farense U23
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 nicked a narrow win over Farense U23 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Estrela U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 41% of the ball to Farense U23's 59%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Farense U23?

Estrela U23 2-1 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 38%, draw 28%, Farense U23 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estrela U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
21 Aug 2024
13:00 Estoril U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Analysis →