Kairouan 0-4 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 21 Aug 2025

Kairouan
0-4 HT 0-3
ES Tunis
📅21/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kairouan vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
63%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.41
Over 2.5
47%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.73
No
55%
1.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.87
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
6.3
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
27%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
62%
Away Win
68%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
67%
-13.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
33%
+13.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
23%
+22.1pp
55%
BTTS No
77%
-22.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kairouan v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairouan EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 72%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
0.48/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.62
-10% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Kairouan vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairouan
0W-0D-2L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
17.02.2021 Kairouan Kairouan 0-3 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
31.12.2019 ES Tunis ES Tunis 7-1 HT 5-1 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
POST-MATCH Kairouan vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis ran out comfortable winners over Kairouan 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kairouan and 5.00 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Kairouan vs ES Tunis?

Kairouan 0-4 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairouan vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 13%, draw 24%, ES Tunis 62%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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