Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 Bursaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Aug 2026

📅21/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.78
Over
51%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Fatih Karagümrük The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursaspor The Market 48%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.48 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.28
1.50 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.63
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Bad
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.0 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bursaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.08 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
382 Passes 282
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.01.2020 Bursaspor Bursaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
17.08.2019 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 HT 1-0 Bursaspor Bursaspor T1L
05.02.2015 Bursaspor Bursaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TÜK
17.12.2014 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 1-0 Bursaspor Bursaspor TÜK
26.02.2005 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-3 HT 1-1 Bursaspor Bursaspor T1L
26.09.2004 Bursaspor Bursaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2-1
AWAY Bursaspor
1.50 xG 1.87
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
212 Passes 567
12 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fatih Karagümrük found just enough to beat Bursaspor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

From a near-even 31% / 29% / 40% read, it was Fatih Karagümrük who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.50 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bursaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Fatih Karagümrük against 1.83 for Bursaspor.

Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor Result & Final Score

Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 Bursaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 31%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bursaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bursaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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