Forfar Athletic 2-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.18
6+ Goals
11%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 31% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.40/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.69
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
27.04.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
02.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
02.12.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
23.09.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-2 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
08.04.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
04.02.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forfar Athletic
2-1
AWAY Stranraer
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic squeezed past Stranraer 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forfar Athletic as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forfar Athletic had 45% of the ball to Stranraer's 55%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forfar Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forfar Athletic and 0.33 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer?

Forfar Athletic 2-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 47%, draw 24%, Stranraer 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forfar Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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