Pergolettese 2-2 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +14%
1.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.67
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
0W-1D-3L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
17.09.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
02.04.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
27.11.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 6-0 HT 4-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
2-2
AWAY FeralpiSalo
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese and FeralpiSalo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was FeralpiSalo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pergolettese had 52% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 48%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Pergolettese and 2.25 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs FeralpiSalo?

Pergolettese 2-2 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 31%, draw 28%, FeralpiSalo 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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