Olympic Kingsway 3-2 Stirling Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.56
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.4pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Kingsway EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 31%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.76/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.91
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +112%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Kingsway
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Stirling Lions
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway 3-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
16.03.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway AVNPL
05.08.2023 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway 2-3 HT 2-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
18.03.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-1 HT 1-1 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway AVNPL
POST-MATCH Olympic Kingsway vs Stirling Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympic Kingsway edged past Stirling Lions 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympic Kingsway as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Olympic Kingsway and 1.25 for Stirling Lions.

What was the final score of Olympic Kingsway vs Stirling Lions?

Olympic Kingsway 3-2 Stirling Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Kingsway vs Stirling Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympic Kingsway win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Olympic Kingsway 51%, draw 28%, Stirling Lions 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympic Kingsway), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympic Kingsway) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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