Canberra FC 4-3 Cooma Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 21 Sep 2024

Canberra FC
4-3
Cooma Tigers
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - NPL Başkent – 2024

Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.43
No
56%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
5.88
2-3 Goals
35%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.59
6+ Goals
10%
5.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.88 — our 31% vs market 12.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
66%
-21.4pp
56%
BTTS No
34%
+21.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra FC v Cooma Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cooma Tigers EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.74
+22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cooma Tigers
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers 2-3 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
14.07.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers AVTCT
20.04.2024 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers 2-2 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
08.08.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-1 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers AVNPL
10.06.2023 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers 4-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
22.04.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-3 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC nicked a narrow win over Cooma Tigers 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Canberra FC and 2.17 for Cooma Tigers.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers?

Canberra FC 4-3 Cooma Tigers in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 46%, draw 24%, Cooma Tigers 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✗ BTTS No
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