Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-0 Royal Pari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.28
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
13.9 Crosses 14.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3-0
AWAY Royal Pari
1.49 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
372 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 3
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Royal Pari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ ran out comfortable winners over Royal Pari 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 57% of the ball to Royal Pari's 43%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.49 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Royal Pari?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-0 Royal Pari in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Royal Pari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 49%, draw 28%, Royal Pari 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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