B93 Kopenhag 1-0 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 30% vs market 17.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.97
1/2
4%
20.75
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
9%
9.86
X/2
14%
4.1
X/X
16%
6.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.08
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.9pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 60%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.16/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.78
-38% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
16.1 Crosses 22.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME B93 Kopenhag
1W-2D-1L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
371 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 1-1 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag DAN1
26.04.2024 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 0-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
16.03.2024 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 3-2 HT 1-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
01.09.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME B93 Kopenhag
1-0
AWAY AC Horsens
0.62 xG 3.44
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 41
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 10
227 Passes 510
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 68
3 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH B93 Kopenhag vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

B93 Kopenhag squeezed past AC Horsens 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was AC Horsens at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, B93 Kopenhag had 34% of the ball to AC Horsens's 66%, shots finished 3-41, expected goals 0.62 to 3.44 — on chances, AC Horsens could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for B93 Kopenhag and 1.00 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of B93 Kopenhag vs AC Horsens?

B93 Kopenhag 1-0 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for B93 Kopenhag vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split B93 Kopenhag 28%, draw 25%, AC Horsens 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AC Horsens) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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