Dewa United 3-3 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 21 Sep 2024

Dewa United
3-3 HT 2-1
Madura United
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Dewa United vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dewa United v Madura United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.13/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.47
+26% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Dewa United vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Madura United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
02.02.2023 Dewa United Dewa United 1-1 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
19.08.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 1-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United and Madura United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dewa United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dewa United and 1.00 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs Madura United?

Dewa United 3-3 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 45%, draw 27%, Madura United 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dewa United) ✗ BTTS No
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