Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-1 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.09
No
67%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
44%
-10.5pp
67%
BTTS No
56%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0-1
AWAY Bahardar
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar squeezed past Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bahardar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 43% of the ball to Bahardar's 57%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-1 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 26%, draw 28%, Bahardar 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahardar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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