HNK Cibalia 5-0 Zrinski Jurjevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.73/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+24% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-2 HT 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
17.02.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
5-0
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Jurjevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia cruised past Zrinski Jurjevac 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day HNK Cibalia made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 56% of the ball to Zrinski Jurjevac's 44%, shots finished 23-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zrinski Jurjevac led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HNK Cibalia and 2.00 for Zrinski Jurjevac.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

HNK Cibalia 5-0 Zrinski Jurjevac in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 39%, draw 28%, Zrinski Jurjevac 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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