Tauras Taurage 1-1 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.21
Over 2.5
40%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.55
No
58%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
33%
+13.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
43%
-16.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
41%
+19.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
59%
-19.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
60%
-18.4pp
58%
BTTS No
40%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 48%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.71/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.72
+86% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Babrungas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.05.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 2-2 HT 1-2 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage and Babrungas shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Tauras Taurage at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Babrungas?

Tauras Taurage 1-1 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 47%, draw 26%, Babrungas 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tauras Taurage), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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