21/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Flekkeroy vs Eik Toensberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
26%
Draw
24%
39%
Away Win
37%
44%
Under 2.5
43%
56%
Over 2.5
57%
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
46%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flekkeroy v Eik Toensberg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Flekkeroy
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Eik Toensberg
EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
1.04/1.25
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.96/2.03
-43%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-34%
/
-19%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
262 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
294 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.1
Yellow Cards
2.0
Flekkeroy vs Eik Toensberg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Flekkeroy
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Eik Toensberg
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
58%
Ball Possession
42%
12
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Target
9
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Flekkeroy vs Eik Toensberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Flekkeroy edged past Eik Toensberg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Flekkeroy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Flekkeroy vs Eik Toensberg?
Flekkeroy 2-1 Eik Toensberg in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flekkeroy vs Eik Toensberg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Eik Toensberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Flekkeroy 35%, draw 26%, Eik Toensberg 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eik Toensberg) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Eik Toensberg)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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21 Sep 2024