21/09/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Malzenice vs Stara Lubovna Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
32%
Draw
26%
25%
Away Win
28%
57%
Under 2.5
51%
43%
Over 2.5
49%
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
48%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malzenice v Stara Lubovna — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Malzenice
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stara Lubovna
EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-1%
/
+7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
368 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.7
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Malzenice vs Stara Lubovna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Malzenice got the better of Stara Lubovna 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malzenice as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Malzenice vs Stara Lubovna?
Malzenice 2-0 Stara Lubovna in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malzenice vs Stara Lubovna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malzenice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Malzenice 43%, draw 32%, Stara Lubovna 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malzenice), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Malzenice)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Sep 2024