Nazilli Belediyespor 1-4 Menemen FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
55%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
13%
+12.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 72%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.97
-100% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -42%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
194 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Menemen FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2023 Menemen FK Menemen FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor T2L-K
05.11.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Menemen FK Menemen FK T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
1-4
AWAY Menemen FK
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Menemen FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Menemen FK ran out comfortable winners over Nazilli Belediyespor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Menemen FK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nazilli Belediyespor had 48% of the ball to Menemen FK's 52%, shots finished 8-26.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nazilli Belediyespor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nazilli Belediyespor and 0.00 for Menemen FK.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Menemen FK?

Nazilli Belediyespor 1-4 Menemen FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Menemen FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 25%, draw 20%, Menemen FK 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Menemen FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Menemen FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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