21/09/2025
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Alvarado vs Los Andes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
34%
Draw
32%
29%
Away Win
29%
26%
BTTS Yes
34%
74%
BTTS No
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alvarado v Los Andes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alvarado
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Los Andes
EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
1.03/0.80
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.57/1.25
-7%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-32%
/
-21%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
286 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
–
Alvarado vs Los Andes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Alvarado
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Los Andes
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Alvarado vs Los Andes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alvarado nicked a narrow win over Los Andes 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Alvarado found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (74%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Alvarado vs Los Andes?
Alvarado 1-0 Los Andes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Los Andes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 37%, draw 34%, Los Andes 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvarado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Alvarado)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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21 Sep 2025