Criciuma vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities
Criciuma v CRB — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Criciuma 1-0 CRB — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma edged past CRB 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Criciuma had 46% of the ball to CRB's 54%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.89 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Criciuma's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Criciuma and 0.50 for CRB.
Criciuma vs CRB Result & Final Score
Criciuma 1 - 0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Criciuma vs CRB Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 52%, draw 28%, CRB 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.