Lyngby 4-0 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

Lyngby
4-0 HT 2-0
HB Koge
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Lyngby vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.13
X/2
6%
11.05
X/X
8%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.8
2/2
5%
8.37
2/X
4%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyngby v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.17/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.80
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.3 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lyngby vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HB Koge
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
334 Passes 234
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 2-4 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAK
04.12.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 3-3 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
17.09.2021 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
11.04.2015 Lyngby Lyngby 1-3 HT 1-3 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
30.03.2014 Lyngby Lyngby 1-2 HT 1-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
05.04.2012 HB Koge HB Koge 1-4 HT 0-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN

Lyngby 4-0 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
4-0
AWAY HB Koge
1.18 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
481 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby cruised past HB Koge 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyngby as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Lyngby had 57% of the ball to HB Koge's 43%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.18 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Lyngby and 2.00 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs HB Koge?

Lyngby 4-0 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 64%, draw 20%, HB Koge 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyngby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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