Utrecht (K) 1-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
63%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.4pp
15%
Draw
21%
-5.1pp
63%
Away Win
63%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.43/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.79
+109% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -63%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
253 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses 12.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
232 Passes 303
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
23.11.2024 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
11.02.2024 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
1-2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
293 Passes 287
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) nicked a narrow win over Utrecht (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 50% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 50%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utrecht (K) and 1.67 for PSV Eindhoven (K).

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Utrecht (K) 1-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 22%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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