Ajka 1-3 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.91/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.77
-26% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.02.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-3 HT 0-3 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
15.08.2021 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE saw off Ajka 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kecskemeti TE as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ajka and 3.00 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE?

Ajka 1-3 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB II on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajka 32%, draw 27%, Kecskemeti TE 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✗ Under 2.5
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