Tarpa 5-2 Nyiregyhaza Sp. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 21 Sep 2025

Tarpa
5-2 HT 3-1
Nyiregyhaza Sp. II
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Hungary - NB III – 2025/2026

Tarpa vs Nyiregyhaza Sp. II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
55%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tarpa v Nyiregyhaza Sp. II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarpa EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Sp. II EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+44% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Tarpa vs Nyiregyhaza Sp. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarpa swept aside Nyiregyhaza Sp. II 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tarpa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Tarpa vs Nyiregyhaza Sp. II?

Tarpa 5-2 Nyiregyhaza Sp. II in the Hungary - NB III on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarpa vs Nyiregyhaza Sp. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tarpa 56%, draw 23%, Nyiregyhaza Sp. II 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tarpa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tarpa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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