Skjervoy 3-2 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.78
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
65%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.46
No
32%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
3%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
13%
+10.2pp
65%
Away Win
77%
-11.7pp
68%
BTTS Yes
64%
+3.3pp
32%
BTTS No
36%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skjervoy EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 81%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.89/3.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.06/0.74
-27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +56%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
224 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 624 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skjervoy
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baerum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 10.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 32
3 Shots on Target 16
2 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2025 Baerum Baerum 10-2 HT 2-1 Skjervoy Skjervoy NOR4
POST-MATCH Skjervoy vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skjervoy nicked a narrow win over Baerum 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Baerum carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Skjervoy vs Baerum?

Skjervoy 3-2 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skjervoy vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Skjervoy 11%, draw 23%, Baerum 65%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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