Umm Salal vs Al Kharitiyath Prediction — Model Probabilities
Umm Salal v Al Kharitiyath — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Kharitiyath Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Umm Salal 1-0 Al Kharitiyath — Actual Match Statistics
Umm Salal came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Al Kharitiyath 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Umm Salal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Al Kharitiyath saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 10-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Umm Salal against 1.00 for Al Kharitiyath.
Umm Salal vs Al Kharitiyath Result & Final Score
Umm Salal 1 - 0 Al Kharitiyath in the Qatar - Stars Cup on 21/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Umm Salal vs Al Kharitiyath Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 40%, draw 27%, Al Kharitiyath 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.