Redditch United 3-1 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.75
Over
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Redditch United The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United The Market 43%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.21/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.16
-19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Redditch United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Telford United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 3-0 HT 1-0 Redditch United Redditch United İNGNLP
14.08.2023 Redditch United Redditch United 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Redditch United
3-1
AWAY AFC Telford United
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Redditch United vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Redditch United saw off AFC Telford United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Redditch United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Redditch United had 42% of the ball to AFC Telford United's 58%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Redditch United and 2.00 for AFC Telford United.

What was the final score of Redditch United vs AFC Telford United?

Redditch United 3-1 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Redditch United vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Redditch United 35%, draw 25%, AFC Telford United 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Telford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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