Valencia vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS1
2-1
HT 1-1
Valencia
İS1
4-0
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İSPK
1-1
HT 1-0
Valencia
İSPK
1-0
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS1
Valencia 2-3 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Las Palmas squeezed past Valencia 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valencia had 47% of the ball to Las Palmas's 53%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.65 to 1.24 — on chances, Valencia could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valencia and 0.83 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Las Palmas?
Valencia 2-3 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valencia 42%, draw 31%, Las Palmas 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.