Casertana 1-0 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.61
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.24/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.00
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Cavese
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
21.03.2021 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 0-1 Cavese Cavese İTC
29.11.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
29.02.2020 Casertana Casertana 2-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
20.10.2019 Cavese Cavese 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-0
AWAY Cavese
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana edged past Cavese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Casertana had 52% of the ball to Cavese's 48%, shots finished 9-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Casertana and 0.25 for Cavese.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Cavese?

Casertana 1-0 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Casertana 41%, draw 27%, Cavese 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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