Arabi 2-2 Masfut — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Masfut EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.82/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.23
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Masfut
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2024 Arabi 1-2 HT 0-1 Masfut Masfut BAE2
18.11.2023 Masfut Masfut 0-3 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
05.03.2023 Arabi 1-1 HT 0-0 Masfut Masfut BAE2
21.10.2022 Masfut Masfut 1-1 HT 0-0 Arabi BAE2
29.01.2022 Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Masfut Masfut BAE2
16.10.2021 Masfut Masfut 2-3 HT 2-2 Arabi BAE2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Masfut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi and Masfut shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arabi and 1.00 for Masfut.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Masfut?

Arabi 2-2 Masfut in the UAE - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Masfut?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arabi 42%, draw 26%, Masfut 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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