Cardiff City U21 3-2 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.43
Over Pick
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.05
2-3
40%
1.96
4-5
26%
2.74
6+
10%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
46%
-13.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City U21
3-2
AWAY Cardiff MU
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 edged past Cardiff MU 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff MU at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cardiff City U21 had 53% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 47%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Cardiff MU?

Cardiff City U21 3-2 Cardiff MU in the Wales - League Cup on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 33%, draw 25%, Cardiff MU 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff MU) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →