Kauno Zalgiris II 0-5 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

Kauno Zalgiris II
0-5
FA Siauliai II
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.0pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kauno Zalgiris II v FA Siauliai II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.12/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.31
-28% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-2D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.06.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-4 HT 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
02.10.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 2-2 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
15.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1

Kauno Zalgiris II 0-5 FA Siauliai II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0-5
AWAY FA Siauliai II
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II ran out comfortable winners over Kauno Zalgiris II 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; FA Siauliai II found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 51% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 49%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.67 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 0-5 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 39%, draw 26%, FA Siauliai II 34%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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