Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esenler Erokspor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals
Esenler Erokspor 2-2 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics
Esenler Erokspor and Keçiörengücü couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Esenler Erokspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 48% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 52%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.11 to 2.78.
What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Esenler Erokspor 2-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü?
Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 43%, draw 24%, Keçiörengücü 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.