Rayong FC 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

Rayong FC
3-1 HT 3-1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Rayong FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rayong FC v Nong Bua Pitchaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.80/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.02
-29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.0 Crosses 13.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rayong FC 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
3-1
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
2.04 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
201 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC got the better of Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rayong FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rayong FC had 45% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 55%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.04 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Rayong FC 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 40%, draw 24%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayong FC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayong FC)
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