Bodrum FK 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 36% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.45
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.94
X/2
12%
6.03
X/X
16%
3.91
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.56
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
1.19/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.62
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.5 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
201 Passes 293
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
01.10.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
0-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.72 xG 0.82
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
235 Passes 413
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor edged past Bodrum FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 40% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 60%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.72 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bodrum FK and 2.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Bodrum FK 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 41%, draw 27%, Çaykur Rizespor 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bodrum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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