Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.26/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.40
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
0-1
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv nicked a narrow win over Rukh Vynnyky 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rukh Vynnyky at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Karpaty Lviv?

Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 47%, draw 28%, Karpaty Lviv 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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