Ahal 0-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 21 Oct 2025

Ahal
0-1 HT 0-0
Sepahan
📅21/10/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Ahal vs Sepahan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
16.01
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
71%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.75
No
49%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.28
2-3 Goals
48%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
8%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
4%
+11.5pp
13%
Draw
15%
-1.5pp
71%
Away Win
81%
-10.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
32%
+18.7pp
49%
BTTS No
68%
-18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ahal v Sepahan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahal EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 85%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / –
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
214 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.0
– Crosses 16.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Ahal 0-1 Sepahan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahal
0-1
AWAY Sepahan
0.03 xG 2.67
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 28
0 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 8
187 Passes 440
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
1 Box Touches 49
2 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ahal vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan nicked a narrow win over Ahal 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ahal had 33% of the ball to Sepahan's 67%, shots finished 2-28, expected goals 0.03 to 2.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sepahan's control.

What was the final score of Ahal vs Sepahan?

Ahal 0-1 Sepahan in the AFCŞL2 on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahal vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Ahal 16%, draw 13%, Sepahan 71%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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