ASM Oran 1-0 RC Arbaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.5pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASM Oran EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Arbaa EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.32/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.37
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASM Oran
1W-1D-1L
AWAY RC Arbaa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
26.12.2024 RC Arbaa RC Arbaa 1-0 HT 0-0 ASM Oran ASM Oran CZYR2
16.02.2024 RC Arbaa RC Arbaa 1-1 ASM Oran ASM Oran CZYR2
18.04.2015 ASM Oran ASM Oran 3-2 HT 2-1 RC Arbaa RC Arbaa CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASM Oran
1-0
AWAY RC Arbaa
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ASM Oran vs RC Arbaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASM Oran edged past RC Arbaa 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ASM Oran as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, ASM Oran had 59% of the ball to RC Arbaa's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ASM Oran and 1.33 for RC Arbaa.

What was the final score of ASM Oran vs RC Arbaa?

ASM Oran 1-0 RC Arbaa in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASM Oran vs RC Arbaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASM Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ASM Oran 58%, draw 26%, RC Arbaa 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASM Oran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ASM Oran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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