Pescara 4-1 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Nov 2024

Pescara
4-1 HT 3-0
Milan II
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Pescara vs Milan II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
3.13
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
7%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 38% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pescara v Milan II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
2.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.00
+18% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pescara 4-1 Milan II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
4-1
AWAY Milan II
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara cruised past Milan II 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pescara had 55% of the ball to Milan II's 45%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Milan II?

Pescara 4-1 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pescara 51%, draw 26%, Milan II 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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